This US Dollar report will address the factors that could have an effect on exchange rates over the coming weeks. The table below looks at the difference between the rate you would have achieved when purchasing £200,000 at the low and high levels on Tuesday.

Currency Pair% ChangeDifference on £200,000
Is a slow down on the horizon for the US and what to expect this week for the dollar

Trump fails to push through Legislation

We have seen Sterling fall against the US dollar following a significant rise following the Republican Party’s failure to replace former President Obama’s Affordable Health Care act. Sterling hit an 11 month high as investors lost confidence in Trump’s ability to push through legislation and GBP/USD breached the 1.30 resistance point.

Since then however we have had the release of UK inflation data which showed a fall and the pound has weakened as a result. Although I am of the opinion Sterling is undervalued, I am of the opinion short to medium term we could see further falls for the pound against the green back. I just think the uncertainty surrounding Brexit talks will hold back Sterling making any significant gains. If you are buying USD I would be taking advantage of current levels, not holding on in the hope of small gains.

Will there be further US Rate hikes this year?

Despite Janet Yellen making everyone aware it was her intention to make as many as four rate hikes this year we have only seen one materialise. I am of the opinion data releases have not been consistent enough to warrant a further hike. The unpredictability of Trump also does not fill the Federal Reserve with confidence when it comes further interest rate hikes.

New and Continuing Jobless Claims could cause movement on GBP/USD

Tomorrow will see the release of the continuing jobless claims which is a measurement of the number of individuals who are unemployed and are currently receiving unemployment benefits. Initial jobless claims is the number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the first time. These releases present the strength of the labor market. A rise has negative implications for consumer spending which discourages economic growth. I would expect a fall, if it is larger than expected we could see US Dollar strength.

Thank you for reading today’s market report, I would greatly appreciate any feedback you have and would take pleasure in replying personally. I am more than happy to assist you with any of your currency requirements. Feel free to e-mail here.


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Exchange rates on this page are interbank rates and indicate where the market is trading to show the performance of a currency pair. They are not indicative of the rates which we offer. The information on this web site is provided free of charge for information purposes only. It does not constitute advice to any person on any matter. Foreign Currency Direct plc. ("FCD") makes every reasonable effort to ensure that this information is accurate and complete but assumes no responsibility for and gives no warranty with regard to the same.