Following the worst GDP figure released in 5 years, coming out at 0.1%, the widely predicted interest rate hike from the Bank of England didn't come to fruition. This could also have reduced the likelihood of a rate hike at all this year. The Sterling report below looks at the way this could affect GBP exchange rates in the coming months. The table below shows the difference in Sterling you could have achieved when buying £200,000.00 during the high and low points on Tuesday this week.

Currency Pair% ChangeDifference on £200,000
GBP/EUR0.4845%€1100
GBP/USD0.8084%$2180
GBP/CAD0.4922%CAD$1720

Brexit and Monetary Policy Outlook hold back the Pound

Sterling has lost significant value of late against the majority of major currencies. GBP/USD was close to 1.45 and now has lost more than ten cents, GBP/AUD has lost nearly ten cents down from 1.85 an GBP/EUR only remains in current buoyancy levels due to the uncertainty surrounding the Italian elections.

A rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE) was widely predicted last month, but never took place following a host of poor economic releases including GDP which arrived at 0.1%, the worst figures for five years. I now would be surprised to see a hike this year.

All eyes turn to the Bank of England

The uncertainty surrounding Brexit is still holding back the pound. The Irish border situation is a particularly controversial subject  and it is proving very difficult  to find a solution.

There is hope this can be resolved this month, but I am not convinced. If there is resolution however this could benefit the pound.

It is a very difficult period for Sterling sellers and there is no doubt it will be difficult to maximise your return. It would be wise to stay in close contact with your broker so you can be made aware of any movements in your favour.  The pound is fragile and any spike is likely to be a small window of opportunity.

Manufacturing PMI

Manufacturing Purchase Mangers Index (PMI) is released today and it captures the business conditions in the manufacturing sector.  It is an indication as to the health of the UK economy. There is expected to be a fall from 53.9 to 53.5 (figures above 50 demonstrates growth). If the figures arrive away from expectations there could be change in Sterling value.

For more information on how future data releases could affect your currency requirement, call our trading floor on 01494 725 353 or email me here.

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Exchange rates on this page are interbank rates and indicate where the market is trading to show the performance of a currency pair. They are not indicative of the rates which we offer. The information on this web site is provided free of charge for information purposes only. It does not constitute advice to any person on any matter. Foreign Currency Direct plc. ("FCD") makes every reasonable effort to ensure that this information is accurate and complete but assumes no responsibility for and gives no warranty with regard to the same.