GBP/USD set to fall further in 2017

Similarly to the Euro, the Pound has also lost an alarming amount of ground against the Dollar since the turn of the New Year, with a €250,000 purchase now almost £4,000 more expensive.

This loss for the Pound has mainly been attributed for similar reasons to the fall against the Euro, but with the US Fed also raising interest rates in December, the Dollar really is in the driving seat compared with Sterling at present.

After raising rates for only the second time since the financial crash in December, the Fed announced that there would be three further hikes in 2017. Many investors may take this with a pinch of salt since the Fed also made similar comments at the beginning of last year, but with Trump’s administration many are predicting that the US economy will grow at a fast pace this year and therefore there will have to be further rate hikes to keep up with his promises of further spending which should in turn see inflation rise.

Speaking earlier this week, Fed spokesperson Jeffrey Lacker issued a bullish statement in which he said "Monetary policy rates are likely to increase, and my view is that they may need to increase more briskly than markets appear to expect.” If that is the case then I believe that we could see further gains for the Greenback against the Pound and maybe even a move towards 1.10 by the end of the year.

US data releases this week

Looking further ahead this week we also have a number of other speeches from Federal Reserve spokes people tomorrow followed by a speech from Fed Chairlady, Janet Yellen on Friday. If they echo Lacker’s bullish stance from earlier this week then we could see further gains for the Dollar. There are also retail sales figures on Friday afternoon for December at 13:30 and with these set to show a massive improvement compared to November we could see the Dollar finish the week as well as it began.

For more information on how upcoming events could affect a US Dollar transfer call our trading floor on 01494 725 353 or email me directly at rjh@currencies.co.uk.

News

Read more articles
Exchange rates on this page are interbank rates and indicate where the market is trading to show the performance of a currency pair. They are not indicative of the rates which we offer. The information on this web site is provided free of charge for information purposes only. It does not constitute advice to any person on any matter. Foreign Currency Direct plc. ("FCD") makes every reasonable effort to ensure that this information is accurate and complete but assumes no responsibility for and gives no warranty with regard to the same.