The Australian dollar has made an 8 cent gain against sterling in the last 20 days with a £200,000 AUD purchase now achieving over $14,000 less in return. The uncertainty surrounding Brexit has had a major effect on the strength of sterling and it may be fair to argue that the GBP/AUD rate could start to move below the 1.80 level.

Currency Pair% Change in 30 daysDifference on £200,000
GBPAUD2.16%$7,300

The spike that occurred earlier this month came solely from the optimism surrounding Brexit, and the news that a deal was close to being achieved. However as talks continue there could be positive news at any point, anyone looking to sell Australian dollars may be wise to capitalise on a one month high.

Consumer Price Index Data

Inflation Data this week

In the very early hours of Wednesday morning the latest Consumer Price Index will be released, with the figure expected to fall from 2.1% to 1.9% which will be the eighth straight quarter where economists have over cooked their estimations. The Australian economy has been reporting good figures over the past few months, however the inflation level has continued to remain below par.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has already removed much chance of any interest rate increases taking place until after next summer, which does leave Australia a little behind the trend with several economies raising rates this year. The Aussie does come under significant pressure from external sources such as China and the US.

Furthermore there is still arguments that the Aussie is overvalued as their interest rate level currently offers good returns compared to several other economies.

In my opinion if interest rates across the globe continue to gradually climb and the UK get a Brexit deal organised, a move toward the 1.90 level at least may not be to far away. Therefore, those looking to sell Aussie dollars may be sensible to capitalise on the major movement these past few days.  

Download our monthly currency forecast

Download here

News

Read more articles
Exchange rates on this page are interbank rates and indicate where the market is trading to show the performance of a currency pair. They are not indicative of the rates which we offer. The information on this web site is provided free of charge for information purposes only. It does not constitute advice to any person on any matter. Foreign Currency Direct plc. ("FCD") makes every reasonable effort to ensure that this information is accurate and complete but assumes no responsibility for and gives no warranty with regard to the same.